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Discussion: Cool conditions

in: blairtrewin; blairtrewin > 2007-11-14;

#  Posted 2007-11-14 15:53:59
TheInvisibleLog: Can't say I noticed them. If this is cool, I'm not looking forward to ugly.

#  Posted 2007-11-15 02:39:46
blairtrewin: Yes - the cool conditions are clinging to the coast and that's it.

The models are wildly differing in their scenarios for the middle of next week. I'm not convinced that the electricity system is up to the job of coping with a 40+ day in Melbourne midweek during school term with Yallourn out of action, and the potential political impact of such an event is a wild card I'd prefer not to see played at this point in time, so I'm hoping the more moderate models are the accurate ones.

#  Posted 2007-11-15 02:52:12
Oxoman: A brown-out is almost guaranteed if the press reporting can be extrapolated to the logical conclusion, and there is no interstate reserve capacity - the NSW Labor govt having sold Victoria's share of hydro capacity to their rice farmers who will take it now and profit, then pay it back out of future years' quota when they can switch to alternative crops.

#  Posted 2007-11-15 08:53:30
blairtrewin: Just had a look at the month-to-date temperature maps (not available to the outside world). There's a bullseye of 2-3 degrees above average sitting right on top of Bendigo, unmatched anywhere else in eastern Australia.

#  Posted 2007-11-15 14:13:11
TheInvisibleLog: Only 2-3 degrees?
Speaking of dodgy deals for rice-growers, try this one. Murray Irrigation sold 100,000 ML of supplementary water to the NSW govt for environmental flows. This is the water industry equivalent of vapour ware. Supplementary water is delivered when all the reservoirs are full and environmental requirements are met. Happens once in a blue-moon, and certainly not in the last decade. They collected $200 a ML for this normally non-existent water. The interesting point is that water is cheap when there is a supplementary allocation. Probably would sell on an annual basis for about $30. That might be equivalent to about $300-400 a ML as a perpetual right.. ie delivered every year. But this is probably delivered every 10 years or so. So that brings it back to being worth $30-$40 as a perpetual right. My only consolation is that it is NSW tax payers who have been so artfully fleeced.

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