I'm still not prepared to bet against the one which has now made it into Capertee, joining up with Wollemi - there must be so many fires which they are just having to let burn right now :(
I wouldn't bet against that either, given the forecasts for Monday/Tuesday and next weekend. At least the Grose Valley fire has been declared contained.
Looking more closely at the Badja fire maps it looks like the western edge of the fire is the eastern edge of the orienteering map, but whether that will remain the case is an open question.
Depends on the wind direction(s)...
Indeed, and I get the impression that the RFS (stretched to the limit) aren't putting a lot of resources into fires spreading slowly west under easterlies - Gospers Mountain, for one, spread further in that direction than I would have expected.
Pretty sure they had backburned around Glen Alice/Glen Davis, but that was weeks ago and well before the fire from the northern part of Wollemi joined up with it.
Guessing the one in Goulburn River NP has been fairly much left to its own devices also. It's just unbelievable how much of Australia is burning:(
(I'm learning more now about the impact of Ash Wednesday 1983 in Vic - had really only known the Adelaide Hills' story - and would have liked to stop at the bushfire memorial we passed in Panmure yesterday but feared G would think me a bit ghoulish...)
Gippsland's the area to watch today. Whilst I think the evacuation warning covered slightly too big an area (probably didn't need to take in Lakes Entrance, at least the town area), I certainly wouldn't be venturing any further east than Lakes Entrance under current conditions (and if already in the area, would have headed for Orbost).
The fire east of Warrnambool's one of the forgotten ones of Ash Wednesday from a Victorian perspective, too. Unless you're very unlucky, most properties can be defended against grass fires, but they can be very dangerous to life for those caught in the open because they move so quickly under extreme conditions - the 1969 Lara fire (when a grass fire ran into traffic stopped on the Geelong freeway) being the worst example.
I’ve got friends who were camping on the coast west of mallacoota, got evacuated to mallacoota then managed to make it to merimbula. Probably not going to be getting back to Melbourne any time soon.
I think the road from Bega to Cooma has been reopened (and if not there's a back road which goes across from south of Eden to Bombala).