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Discussion: Covid and Lawrence

in: Swampfox; Swampfox > 2020-06-14

Jun 14, 2020 6:14 PM # 
Spike:
My analysis is that Lawrence looks good for several reasons:

Most people took the risk of the virus seriously and lots of people wear masks

The timing for the virus arriving was lucky. Spring break came at just the right time

Kansas governor, Laura Kelly (well known as a guest speaker at the KU Performance Auditing class a few years ago), took steps relatively quickly.

The per capita infection rate is based on the Lawrence MSA (which is the entire county) with 122K people. But with KU and Haskell closed, the number of people here is more like 100K.

What makes Ulrik's Hill tough is that Ulrik ran so darned fast. If you ran when Ulrik was here, you had a head start, he caught you just when the road tips up, you tried to relax and hang on to him for a while, you went too hard, you reached the top feeling dead...and you still have about 200 meters of flat gravel to reach the end.
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Jun 15, 2020 6:10 PM # 
Spike:
Today's paper has a story about the first Lawrence outbreak. Four people who work at the same place.
Jun 15, 2020 10:16 PM # 
Swampfox:
I would hope by now that health and other authorities everywhere realize that further outbreaks are all but inevitable, with no place immune, and that those places so far unaffected have been using these past few to prepare for what steps they will take when an outbreak occurs.

My guess--purely a guess--is that a lot of people locally have lost much of their fear of the virus and that a fair number of people never took it all that seriously in the first place.

I do wonder what things will look like by around mid-December--2 1/2 weeks or so after Thanksgiving.
Jun 15, 2020 10:37 PM # 
Spike:
From what I can tell, health officials have a good understanding of what's occurring. But changing behavior of individuals and political decisions is a different matter.

People have a hard time making sense of something that is new and different - something we haven't lived through before. I'm hopeful, but skeptical, that people have learned lessons.

Edit: thanks for the link to the Derek Cooke interview. I listened to it as background while I was working this afternoon.

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