Apologies for butting in and adding to an already bloated thread but the whole COVID lockdown thing is something that I feel quite strongly about and thought I'd help people potentially make up their minds on the whole thing a little better with some facts you'll not come across in the media.
Bottom line is that the argument for lockdown is incredibly over sighted. This professor from ed uni has done some good work on the stats https://www.maths.ed.ac.uk/~swood34/
and has referenced what are basically as well accepted economic studies as your going to find. The upshot is that even if the whole population contracted COVID and the death rate was a worst case ~ 0.5% which is buffed massively to assume more people die due to lack of adequate care ( actually currently ~ 0.2-0.25%) . Even in this scenario the number of deaths from COVID wouldn’t even reach half the deaths caused by the economic impact of lockdowns. What’s more, because the average COVID death age in UK is 82 and many of these even have further underlying health conditions, a worst case number of life years lost estimate is approx. 2.5 years. This cant be said for the people who will die due to the economic impacts, many will even be children. Now you can, if you are willing to do the maths from demographic data, as I did, calculate that this means the economic impact OF LOCKDOWNS is likely to result in somewhere in the region of 50x more life years lost than a WORST CASE COVID scenario. That sound like an unbelievable number but If you flick through that professor’s page you will see he came to a very similar conclusion backed by hard data.
This is all before we even touch on the extra educational damage caused by lockdowns, or even the mental health impact, doesn’t help that we can’t tell that because SNP refuse to release suicide data early for this year, I wonder why ?
Now this does obviously mean that for a period we would have to turn many people away from hospitals to essentially die at home from COVID (which is rough admittedly) but given the difference in the region of 50x more life years lost, not to mention the full life of poverty millions more will have to endure due to these restrictions, I would say it’s a hard call that should have been made.
Sadly you won’t see any of that on the news. The lesson, Its easier to scare middle class old people in to fearing for their own life than it is to make them care about some poor bugger who’s just lost their job and cant feed their kids any more.