Trail Run 57:12 [1] 5.9 mi (9:42 / mi) +275m 8:28 / mi
ahr:134 max:170
Off to run at the Blue Hills between meetings. Watch didn't start until I was 8 minutes in (really, can someone design a watch which can find satellites while you're running if it doesn't start right away?) so I had to stop and restart. It was a beautiful day out, 80s but in the shade much cooler with a dry breeze: 47˚ dew point!
Not very busy in the Blue Hills. Ran there partially because on trails there seems to be a healthier mask use rate: people don't use them. Here's my rant about masks:
Masks solve the droplet issue, which is someone sneezing and droplets being expelled. If you're running, all a mask does is move the air around, unless you're sneezing. In which case don't go running. In close proximity, masks are very important, for the droplet issue (this is what hand washing is about). We've mostly solved that.
For aerosols, masks probably do help when people are in proximity to each other, but ventilation seems to be much more important. For example, there have been basically zero reported transmission on airplanes or transit vehicles. I think there is probably some sort of equation for transmission along the lines of:
((1/air change rate / rate of ventilation)) * (time spent in proximity) * (viral load of person spreading) * (density of people)
let's call this 1/a t v d
If any of these are close to zero, then the entire equation goes to zero. In general, v is unknowable, but people on hiking trails are less likely to be shedding virus than people, say, in a hospital. But on hiking trails, especially the wider ones like the Blue Hills, a is very high, which means 1/a is quite low, especially on a breezy day, although even a 5 mph breeze across a 10-foot-wide path at a 30˚ angle would change the air over every five seconds, or 720 times per hour. Airplanes change air 20 times per hour. t is also quite low: even overtaking another runner, you're only in their slipstream for a few seconds, and that's assuming no cross breeze, and d is also low, especially if you stay off the busiest trails.