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Discussion: Numbers

in: blairtrewin; blairtrewin > 2017-01-30

Jan 30, 2017 11:01 AM # 
simmo:
What about the numbers coming out of WA? We're getting mm not C - but not as much as the forecasts, which were way more than we got. Am expecting the same tomorrow - the forecast is 45-50mm, won't happen.
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Jan 30, 2017 10:22 PM # 
blairtrewin:
That one was (and is) a challenging one for forecasters - the rain was forecast to have a very sharply defined southern boundary which was forecast to be very close to Perth, and turned out to be a little further north than forecast (especially on Sunday). Plenty of 50+ falls once you got north of Perth; on the other hand, Mandurah's had almost nothing.
Jan 31, 2017 12:58 AM # 
tRicky:
The forecasters were wrong? I don't understand.
Jan 31, 2017 1:48 AM # 
LOST_Richard:
Don't accountants do forecasts and get them right all time?
Jan 31, 2017 6:00 AM # 
blairtrewin:
Looks like the edge of the main rain area is just north of Perth again: 27 so far since 9am at RAAF Pearce, 2 in the city.
Jan 31, 2017 6:27 AM # 
LOST_Richard:
Yes, stopped raining in Subiaco around lunch time, but off and on during the morning.
Jan 31, 2017 7:48 AM # 
simmo:
Perth Bureau needs a fence-sitter like they've got in Darwin. Every single day from November to May the Darwin forecast is 'Possible storms'. How many days do they actually get a storm?
Jan 31, 2017 10:32 AM # 
jennycas:
Storm clouds often pile up in/come up from the south, Susanne says, and she watches for them each afternoon. On all but 8 days in Jan, Darwin airport reported some rain (and on 2 days, over 100mm). Mind you, the rainfall can be quite localised!
Jan 31, 2017 12:12 PM # 
tRicky:
We do have fence sitters. How often do we get 'chance of a shower' as the weather forecast?

Richard, I always thought our forecasting department was pointless and based their spreadsheets on totally unrealistic assumptions, hence why we never achieved our forecast figures! Me on the other hand, I only dealt in facts.
Jan 31, 2017 12:43 PM # 
LOST_Richard:
tRicky you always have an alternative view
Jan 31, 2017 9:51 PM # 
Uncle JiM:
tRicky is dealing in 'alternative facts'

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