Discussion: Numbers

What about the numbers coming out of WA? We're getting mm not C - but not as much as the forecasts, which were way more than we got. Am expecting the same tomorrow - the forecast is 45-50mm, won't happen.

That one was (and is) a challenging one for forecasters - the rain was forecast to have a very sharply defined southern boundary which was forecast to be very close to Perth, and turned out to be a little further north than forecast (especially on Sunday). Plenty of 50+ falls once you got north of Perth; on the other hand, Mandurah's had almost nothing.

The forecasters were wrong? I don't understand.

Don't accountants do forecasts and get them right all time?

Looks like the edge of the main rain area is just north of Perth again: 27 so far since 9am at RAAF Pearce, 2 in the city.

Yes, stopped raining in Subiaco around lunch time, but off and on during the morning.

Perth Bureau needs a fence-sitter like they've got in Darwin. Every single day from November to May the Darwin forecast is 'Possible storms'. How many days do they actually get a storm?

Storm clouds often pile up in/come up from the south, Susanne says, and she watches for them each afternoon. On all but 8 days in Jan, Darwin airport reported some rain (and on 2 days, over 100mm). Mind you, the rainfall can be quite localised!

We do have fence sitters. How often do we get 'chance of a shower' as the weather forecast?

Richard, I always thought our forecasting department was pointless and based their spreadsheets on totally unrealistic assumptions, hence why we never achieved our forecast figures! Me on the other hand, I only dealt in facts.

tRicky you always have an alternative view

tRicky is dealing in 'alternative facts'